MANIFOLD
Who will win Texas’ U.S. Senate race in 2026? (Nov 3 general election)
42
Ṁ600Ṁ7.2k
Nov 4
59%
John Cornyn
30%
James Talarico
10%
Ken Paxton

This market resolves to the candidate certified by the Texas Secretary of State as the winner of the November 3, 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election.

If a recount, legal challenge, or delay occurs, resolution is based on the final certified result.

  • Update 2026-02-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Primary election handling: Candidates who lose their primary will be resolved to No, since they cannot appear in the November 3 general election in Texas.

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Crockett and Hunt are NO as Texas law makes a primary/runoff loser ineligible to appear on the November ballot for the same office (including as an independent or declared write-in).

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Jack1 oh shoot I searched and didn’t see this .. should I N/A ?

bought Ṁ10 YES

@yeeta u decide. You’re allowed multiple of same market. But other will be used more as has higher liquidity and more users already

@Jack1 I may leave it … I think to differentiate this market I will No on the candidates who lose their primary since they can’t appear in the general in Texas, and then add liquidity.

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