
Will SpaceX land on the MOON before Dec 31st 2028?
12
Ṁ190Ṁ2.1k2029
15%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The question will resolve to YES if it's a SUCCESSFUL crewed lunar landing performed by HLS.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?
3% chance
Will Starship go to the Moon before 2027?
6% chance
Will SpaceX land a human on the Moon before they land a human on Mars?
89% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2027?
2% chance
Will SpaceX land on the MOON by Dec 31st 2029?
40% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2030?
45% chance
What year will SpaceX land on the moon?
When will SpaceX land on the moon?
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
23% chance
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
4% chance
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?
3% chance
Will Starship go to the Moon before 2027?
6% chance
Will SpaceX land a human on the Moon before they land a human on Mars?
89% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2027?
2% chance
Will SpaceX land on the MOON by Dec 31st 2029?
40% chance
Will SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2030?
45% chance
What year will SpaceX land on the moon?
When will SpaceX land on the moon?
Will SpaceX successfully land Starship on Mars before January 1st 2030?
23% chance
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
4% chance