AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Saxony-Anhalt state election?
28
Ṁ1kṀ4.4kDec 31
26%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Absolute majority = majority of seats, allowing for a single-party government
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000
People are also trading
Related questions
AfD wins absolute majority in 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern
state election?
12% chance
Will the German AfD be in power on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
27% chance
Will AfD get 21+% in 2029 German Federal Elections?
82% chance
Will the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will the AfD officially join any German state-level governing coalition by December 31, 2026?
15% chance
Will AfD become the biggest party in the following german elections
57% chance
Will any German State Prime Minister in 2026 be elected with AfD support?
57% chance
Will the German political party AfD (right to far-right) get over 35% of the votes in the next election?
22% chance
Will the AfD participate in a German federal or state government by the year 2030?
66% chance
Will the Alternative for Germany become the biggest party in the 2029 German Bundestag elections?
59% chance