Resolves based on who JD Vance announces as his vice president (if he assumes presidency) OR if he announces a vice president as a candidate for president.
Resolves no vice president announcement made if he never announces a vice president before 20 Jan 2029. Resolves based on first announcement of a vp pick.
Update 2026-03-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve to the announced VP even if JD Vance announces a VP during the primary but does not win the nomination. Example: Ted Cruz announced Carly Fiorina as his VP in 2016 as a candidate before winning the primary.
1,000People are also trading
@Jack1 If he’s not the nominee this resolves to ‘No vice president announced before Jan 20 2029’?
@TeapotinSagittarius yes that's right. For example ted cruz announced carly fiorina as his VP in 2016 as a candidate. If jd vance announced a VP candidate before he won the primary, then it would resolve to that person even if he didn't win.
@Jack1 Vance seems to be extremely pragmatic politically (less charitably you could say he has no values), so it's hard to rule anything out.