MANIFOLD
Will Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
31
Ṁ1kṀ2k
2028
45%
chance

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/02/26/trump-elections-executive-order-activists/

Pro-Trump activists who say they are in coordination with the White House are circulating a 17-page draft executive order that claims China interfered in the 2020 election as a basis to declare a national emergency that would unlock extraordinary presidential power over voting.

Resolves based on whether a national emergency is declared by Trump (or by a future president) that, according to major news media, relates to elections or voting, before the 2028 election.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 YES

I'd like to hear arguments for why this doesn't happen by default. (Preferably sound and true ones!)

@Haiku One reason is that reports similar to this have not come true in the past - last fall the Treasury Secretary indicated that they would be declaring a national emergency on housing, and that just didn't happen. And that was at least someone who definitely has influence in the White House, while this report cites "Pro-Trump activists who say they are in coordination with the White House".

@Gabrielle I am happy to heavily huff that hopium. Thank you. 🫡

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy